Jorja Smith's third album, What Are the Odds, released on August 21, 2026, gives dance-driven rhythms a bigger role in her live shows. That does not mean leaving R&B or older favorites behind: documented European performances already mix seven songs from the new record with familiar material. Her São Paulo concert is scheduled for October 30, but no official running order or complete song selection has been announced.
How has Jorja Smith's sound changed?
Her move toward dance music predates this album. The Preditah collaboration On My Mind (2017) and Little Things from Falling or Flying (2023) had already brought club sounds into her work. What makes What Are the Odds different is its scale: all 12 tracks belong to a project built around electronic rhythms, rather than occasional dance moments within a predominantly R&B album.
Produced entirely by P2J, the record draws on UK garage, 2-step, UK funky, house and Afro-house influences, according to its official description. Grime is particularly recognizable in This City, a recorded collaboration with Devlin. Alive features Wizkid. These are album credits, not announcements that either guest will appear on stage in Brazil.
There are important differences within this dance-focused approach. Apple Music points to the hip-house pulse of Dancing, the saxophone and drum-and-bass flavor of I Lied, You Lied, and the rapid-fire percussion of Make It Your Home. In Pitchfork, critic Boutayna Chokrane highlights the UK garage sound of What's Done Is Done. These are attributed descriptions of the recordings, not promises of identical live arrangements.
All 12 album tracks compared with a Berlin show
One useful point of comparison is Smith's September 3, 2026 performance at Lido in Berlin. The setlist published on setlist.fm contains 13 songs, seven from the new album. The table follows the album's official track order and shows only whether a song appears in that particular record. Setlist.fm is updated by contributors, making it a reference for past performances rather than an official forecast for São Paulo.
| Album track | Listed in Berlin? | Recording or setlist context |
|---|---|---|
| For Life | Yes | Opens the album and the documented Berlin show. |
| What Are The Odds | Yes | Title track, played directly after For Life in that record. |
| What's Done Is Done | Yes | Single with UK garage influences highlighted by Pitchfork. |
| This City (feat. Devlin) | Yes | Recorded collaboration with UK grime artist Devlin. |
| Pretend | Not listed | Fifth track on the album; not listed in Berlin. |
| The Way It Was | Not listed | Sixth track on the album; not listed in Berlin. |
| I Lied, You Lied | Yes | Apple Music notes saxophone and drum-and-bass influences. |
| Dancing | Yes | Apple Music highlights its hip-house beat. |
| Alive (feat. Wizkid) | Yes | Recorded collaboration with Wizkid; his presence in São Paulo is unconfirmed. |
| Young Heart | Not listed | Tenth album track; not listed in Berlin. |
| Make It Your Home | Not listed | Apple Music describes its particularly fast-paced percussion. |
| When It Gets Like That | Not listed | Closes the album; not listed in Berlin. |
In short, seven of the album's 12 tracks are documented on that Berlin night; the other five are absent from that particular list. This does not establish that those songs have been dropped from the entire tour, or determine how many new tracks will be performed in Brazil.
Are the older favorites still part of the show?
Yes, at least in the European performances examined. The same Berlin set includes Blue Lights, Teenage Fantasy, Come Over, Little Things, Be Honest and On My Mind alongside the new material. A September 2 show in Manchester also lists seven What Are the Odds tracks alongside songs from earlier phases. The observed pattern suggests a balance of reflective songs and rhythmic stretches, but this can vary by city, show length and event format.
What is confirmed for São Paulo on October 30?
According to Espaço Unimed, the Friday, October 30, 2026 performance takes place at Rua Tagipuru, 795, Barra Funda, São Paulo. Doors are scheduled to open at 8 p.m. and the show to begin at 10 p.m., Brasília time. DJ Akila is billed as the opening act, and the venue lists a 16+ age rating. Ticket details and any changes should be checked on the venue's official event page.
The venue says songs from the new album will be performed but has not published a complete song list or running order for this date. The 12 entries in the table are the album's tracklist, not a promise that all of them will be played. Other regional appearances require separate checks of their dates, venues and repertoire; none of those details should be inferred from the São Paulo booking.
